Economic strategy 2025 to 2035: Towards a more prosperous Denbighshire

'Towards a more prosperous Denbighshire' presents our long-term vision for creating a more prosperous Denbighshire and a local economy that is increasingly resilient and competitive, skilled and enterprising and famous for its genuinely distinctive places and experiences. The strategy is designed to look outward and make the most of new opportunities across North Wales and beyond.

A wide range of economic development activity is already underway across the county and much of this will continue. Our action plan focuses specifically on what more can be done in the short to medium-term to help to achieve our ambitious goals. The Denbighshire partnership has developed six new action areas, which are of major importance for the County’s future economic development, growth and success:

  • Entrepreneurship and incubation
  • Indigenous business support
  • Business Accommodation
  • Innovation Zone at St Asaph Business Park
  • Boosting town centre footfall
  • Team Denbighshire

The Denbighshire partnership commissioned the SQW Group (external website) to summarise our vision under the following headings:

Introduction

Introduction

Our starting point

Towards a more prosperous Denbighshire is our ambitious and exciting new growth strategy to support the County’s future economic development. It emerged from a detailed and transparent process with extensive stakeholder engagement across the public, private and third sectors. Maintaining this partnership as the focus shifts to implementation will be crucial; it will require a collective effort from partners inside and outside the County to achieve our shared ambitions. As well as overseeing delivery, a partnership is essential in tracking progress and celebrating our successes through robust monitoring and evaluation.

Towards a more prosperous Denbighshire presents our long- term vision for creating a more prosperous Denbighshire and a local economy that is increasingly resilient and competitive, skilled and enterprising, and famous for its genuinely distinctive places and experiences. The strategy is designed to look outward and make the most of new opportunities across North Wales and beyond.

Summary of economic performance

Denbighshire is a predominantly rural county with around 97,000 residents. The local economy has c.3,500 businesses, generating around £2bn in economic output annually. However, our economy has underperformed on Gross Value Added (GVA, a key measure of an economy’s overall performance) and employment compared to the Wales and UK averages over recent decades.

The County also faces a stubbornly persistent and significant productivity gap. Productivity (measured by GVA per filled job) was £44,900 in 2022, equivalent to c. 73% of the UK average. More worryingly, this gap has only narrowed slightly over the past 15 years. This is the single biggest challenge facing the Denbighshire economy and is a clear area of focus for the new strategy.

Denbighshire also face challenges related to:

  • a declining working-age population and lower rates of economic activity, as well as a limited supply of higher level skills
  • relatively low growth in business numbers compared to the Wales and UK averages
  • infrastructure constraints in relation to north-south transport connectivity and ultrafast broadband
  • pockets of deeply entrenched deprivation, particularly in Rhyl.

Encouragingly, we are making progress towards Net Zero, although there is more work to do on this key agenda.

Opportunities for the Strategy

Denbighshire have an outstanding natural environment and rich Welsh heritage and culture, contributing to our important visitor economy and highly distinctive offer. To sustain this, the partnership must:

  • respond to the challenge of town centre decline
  • be alert to the implications of the Welsh Government’s proposed visitor levy, and the potential establishment of a new Clwydian Range and Dee Valley national park.

The optics and photonics cluster at St Asaph Business Park - centred around Prifysgol Wrecsam/Wrexham University’s OpTIC Technology Centre – is our key knowledge economy asset. However, additional investment in high quality premises and innovation support is needed to support the cluster’s next phase of growth and create more high skilled jobs for our residents.

There are also exciting opportunities to enhance Denbighshire’s external profile and expand our wider partnership working to help attract businesses and jobs in higher value sectors. This relates to the North Wales Growth Deal, but also the Welsh Government and across the border into north west England.

What type of economy do we want to be?

What type of economy do we want to be?

By 2035 we will have created a more prosperous Denbighshire for the benefit of all of our communities. This will be based on a more resilient, competitive and outward-facing economy that embraces innovation and entrepreneurship, and leverages fully our highly distinctive quality of life offer.

Resilient and competitive

  • Build a stronger private sector with a vibrant network of start-ups, scale-ups & large firms embedded locally in our rural & urban areas
  • Build a tech-rich cluster at St Asaph Business Park as a focus for our innovation economy
  • Support an economy that is resilient to shocks incl. the climate emergency, new tech, business models & market change
  • Compete on knowledge rather than cost
  • Supported by enabling infrastructure including broadband, energy, transport, commercial premises, planning system, & business support

Distinctive places and experiences

  • Leverage our world-class natural environment & community character to create a quality of life offer that attracts & retains talent, entrepreneurs & investment
  • Celebrate our distinctive urban & rural places, culture, Welsh language & heritage effectively to the outside world
  • Position Denbighshire as a leading location in the UK for nature-based & green tourism
  • Maximise economic growth opportunities associated with the proposed National Park

Skilled an enterprising

  • Develop a workforce that comprises skilled & entrepreneurial people who want to start, grow & develop innovative businesses
  • Support a high-quality schools & wider skills system that is aligned fully with the changing needs of businesses, creating pathways for local employment opportunities
  • Collaborate effectively with the North Wales Regional Skills Partnership

Ambitious and outward looking

  • Build a Denbighshire Growth Partnership to drive forward the delivery of the new strategy.
  • Ensure the partnership is ambitious, able to compete for investment & promote the County effectively- with a particular emphasis on the Green Economy & Opto Electronics
  • Collaborate effectively with partners across the North Wales Growth Deal, Welsh Government & across into NW England

Source: SQW

How will we achieve our vision?

How will we achieve our vision?

A wide range of economic development activity is already under way across the County and much of this will continue. This Action Plan focuses specifically on what more can be done in the short to medium-term to help to achieve our ambitious goals. The Denbighshire partnership has developed six new action areas which are of major importance for the County’s future economic development, growth and success.

Entrepreneurship Programme

  • To help people to start, grow and develop innovative businesses locally
  • We will offer workshops (online and in-person) with specialist enterprise support advisors as well as wider outreach work across all parts of Denbighshire
  • We will inspire young people by promoting entrepreneurship as an attractive career option.

Indigenous business support

  • To help businesses in all sectors and areas (urban and rural) to grow and become more resilient
  • We will deliver an annual series of events across Denbighshire, tailored one-to-one support for high-growth potential businesses, and connect firms to wider support from Business Wales
  • We will seek funding for improvements that boost efficiency and resilience.

Business accommodation

  • To ensure there is a range of workspaces for businesses at all stages of their growth journey
  • This will include community-based initiatives, innovation centres, and larger industrial and office premises
  • Innovation centres combine an attractive physical environment with wraparound advice and support for business growth.

Innovation Zone at St Asaph Business Park

  • To create a focus for innovation-led growth and the development of Denbighshire’s knowledge economy
  • We will explore the feasibility of creating an ‘Innovation Zone’ adjacent to the OpTIC Technology Centre
  • This will include the development of ‘grow-on space’ for expanding, innovative businesses.

Boosting town centre footfall and investment

  • To support the regeneration of our towns
  • We will support town boards to develop tailored vision statements that can be used to guide public sector activity and attract private investment.
  • We will deliver a suite of activities including marketing, cultural events, and support the creative reuse of empty high street properties in order to attract people back to our town centres.

Establish Team Denbighshire

  • To attract more business investment and public funding into the County
  • We will review our delivery capacity and governance structures so that we can continue to champion the County’s economic potential to partners beyond Denbighshire
  • We will actively encourage joint working to compete more effectively for funding and economic growth opportunities.
Measuring our shared success

Measuring our shared success

Towards a more prosperous Denbighshire presents an ambitious new vision for the County’s economic performance, and an exciting suite of action areas to help achieve this. The partnership will monitor progress towards our vision to celebrate successes and promptly identify and address any challenges.

There are two elements to this. First, each action delivered under the strategy should have an appropriate monitoring and evaluation plan in place to enable progress to be tracked from a bottom up perspective. Second, a top down assessment should be undertaken using a prioritised list of socio-economic indicators, as shown in the table.

Socio-economic indicators
Indicator ONS data set
Gross Value Added (GVA) Regional gross value added
Employment Jobs Density
Jobs density Jobs Density
Productivity (GVA per filled job) Subregional productivity
Number of active enterprises Business Demography
Business birth rate Business Demography

Source: SQW

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